Kickers Offenbach 3-5 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kickers Offenbach EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 34%
+20% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
2.24/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.68
+33% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kickers Offenbach
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Homburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Homburg Homburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Homburg Homburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
17.09.2022 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 1-2 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
28.11.2021 Homburg Homburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
14.08.2021 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 1-0 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
04.05.2021 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 3-2 HT 2-2 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kickers Offenbach
3-5
AWAY Homburg
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kickers Offenbach vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg beat Kickers Offenbach 5-3 away from home. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kickers Offenbach at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kickers Offenbach had 59% of the ball to Homburg's 41%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kickers Offenbach had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kickers Offenbach and 1.17 for Homburg.

What was the final score of Kickers Offenbach vs Homburg?

Kickers Offenbach 3-5 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kickers Offenbach vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kickers Offenbach win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kickers Offenbach 45%, draw 26%, Homburg 29%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kickers Offenbach) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Offenbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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