FC Liefering 2-0 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.03
1/2
9%
24.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
15%
6.26
X/2
9%
5.21
X/X
15%
5.3
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
19%
3.12
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +10%
1.47/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.69
+48% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
292 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 68%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
15.8 Crosses 12.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Grazer AK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 1.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 Passes 255
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
05.05.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 0-2 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
06.08.2022 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
29.04.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-1 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
23.10.2021 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-3 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
02.04.2021 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Liefering
2-0
AWAY Grazer AK
1.52 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
297 Passes 271
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering beat Grazer AK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day FC Liefering made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Liefering had 50% of the ball to Grazer AK's 50%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.52 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grazer AK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Liefering and 1.33 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Grazer AK?

FC Liefering 2-0 Grazer AK in the Austria - 1st Division on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 35%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✗ BTTS Yes
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