Kapfenberger SV 3-1 Stripfing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.43
6+ Goals
12%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.08
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
17%
4.9
X/2
12%
6.41
X/X
10%
4.75
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
18%
4.48
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stripfing EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.15/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.03
+33% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 73%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
12.9 Crosses 13.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stripfing
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Stripfing Stripfing 2-3 HT 1-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Stripfing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV got the better of Stripfing 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Kapfenberger SV made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Stripfing?

Kapfenberger SV 3-1 Stripfing in the Austria - 1st Division on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Stripfing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 39%, draw 25%, Stripfing 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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