Hobro IK 2-1 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 12 Apr 2024

Hobro IK
2-1 HT 0-0
Aalborg
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2023/2024

Hobro IK vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.82
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
9%
7.79
X/2
16%
4.39
X/X
11%
4.65
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.6
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hobro IK v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 52%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.32/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.16
+25% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
20.0 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Hobro IK vs Aalborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aalborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.57
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
263 Passes 420
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 1-2 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
24.08.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-2 HT 1-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
01.12.2019 Aalborg Aalborg 1-1 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN
05.10.2019 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
26.04.2019 Aalborg Aalborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN
07.04.2019 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN

Hobro IK 2-1 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
2-1
AWAY Aalborg
1.14 xG 1.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
443 Passes 409
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK nicked a narrow win over Aalborg 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aalborg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hobro IK had 52% of the ball to Aalborg's 48%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.14 to 1.71 — on chances, Aalborg could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hobro IK and 1.33 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Aalborg?

Hobro IK 2-1 Aalborg in the Denmark 1st Division on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 31%, draw 25%, Aalborg 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalborg) ✓ BTTS Yes
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