Nykobing 0-5 Roskilde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
38%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
38%
Away Win
50%
-12.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Roskilde EU Bookmakers 55%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.71
-100% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +74%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Roskilde
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Roskilde Roskilde 3-0 HT 2-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
18.08.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 1-2 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
09.04.2021 Roskilde Roskilde 3-1 HT 0-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
14.11.2020 Nykobing Nykobing 2-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
25.06.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 2-2 HT 2-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN1
31.05.2020 Nykobing Nykobing 2-2 HT 1-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Roskilde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde swept aside Nykobing 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Roskilde found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roskilde led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nykobing and 2.00 for Roskilde.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Roskilde?

Nykobing 0-5 Roskilde in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Roskilde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 33%, draw 29%, Roskilde 38%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roskilde), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roskilde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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