Roskilde 3-0 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.11
2-3 Goals
46%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.74/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.92
-6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nykobing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 1-2 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
09.04.2021 Roskilde Roskilde 3-1 HT 0-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
14.11.2020 Nykobing Nykobing 2-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
25.06.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 2-2 HT 2-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN1
31.05.2020 Nykobing Nykobing 2-2 HT 1-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
15.09.2019 Roskilde Roskilde 3-1 HT 2-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
3-0
AWAY Nykobing
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde swept aside Nykobing 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roskilde as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Roskilde had 52% of the ball to Nykobing's 48%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roskilde had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roskilde and 1.50 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Nykobing?

Roskilde 3-0 Nykobing in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 54%, draw 20%, Nykobing 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roskilde), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roskilde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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