Middelfart 4-0 Hellerup IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

Middelfart
4-0 HT 1-0
Hellerup IK
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Middelfart vs Hellerup IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v Hellerup IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.58/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.66
-21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Middelfart vs Hellerup IK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Hellerup IK
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-2 HT 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
20.11.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 1-2 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
02.10.2021 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
24.06.2020 Middelfart Middelfart 2-0 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
17.05.2014 Middelfart Middelfart 1-3 HT 0-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2

Middelfart 4-0 Hellerup IK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
4-0
AWAY Hellerup IK
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Hellerup IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart ran out comfortable winners over Hellerup IK 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Middelfart had 44% of the ball to Hellerup IK's 56%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hellerup IK led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Middelfart and 1.60 for Hellerup IK.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Hellerup IK?

Middelfart 4-0 Hellerup IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Hellerup IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 54%, draw 21%, Hellerup IK 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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