Odense 1-3 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 12 Apr 2024

Odense
1-3 HT 1-1
Viborg
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2023/2024

Odense vs Viborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.45
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.27
X/2
16%
5.99
X/X
10%
4.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.5
2/2
17%
4.13
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Odense v Viborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.65/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.32
+13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
16.8 Crosses 19.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Odense vs Viborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Viborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.52 xG 1.56
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
423 Passes 370
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2024 Viborg Viborg 1-2 HT 1-2 Odense Odense DAN
07.08.2023 Odense Odense 1-2 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
16.10.2022 Viborg Viborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN
04.09.2022 Odense Odense 1-2 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
12.05.2022 Odense Odense 1-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
17.04.2022 Viborg Viborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Odense Odense DAN

Odense 1-3 Viborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odense
1-3
AWAY Viborg
0.37 xG 1.02
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
268 Passes 451
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Odense vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg saw off Odense 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Viborg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Odense had 40% of the ball to Viborg's 60%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.37 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Odense and 1.17 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Odense vs Viborg?

Odense 1-3 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odense vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Odense 39%, draw 23%, Viborg 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/23/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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