Bahardar 1-1 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
2.99
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
50%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
30%
-9.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.0pp
50%
Away Win
39%
+11.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.7pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
1-1
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar and Kedus Giorgis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kedus Giorgis at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Bahardar had 44% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 56%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Kedus Giorgis?

Bahardar 1-1 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 21%, draw 29%, Kedus Giorgis 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kedus Giorgis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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