Fasil Ketema 2-2 Hambericho Durame — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.28
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
74%
-19.9pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.2pp
20%
Away Win
9%
+11.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.6pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Hambericho Durame EU Bookmakers 11%
-74% / -74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.42
-100% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -38%
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
502 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
2-2
AWAY Hambericho Durame
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Hambericho Durame
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema and Hambericho Durame shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fasil Ketema at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 63% of the ball to Hambericho Durame's 37%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Hambericho Durame?

Fasil Ketema 2-2 Hambericho Durame in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Hambericho Durame?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 54%, draw 25%, Hambericho Durame 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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