Jarun 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 12 Apr 2024

Jarun
0-1 HT 0-1
Dubrava Zagreb
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Croatia - 2.HNL – 2023/2024

Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jarun v Dubrava Zagreb — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 34%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.02/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.32
-30% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-0 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2

Jarun 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
0-1
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubrava Zagreb nicked a narrow win over Jarun 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Dubrava Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jarun had 51% of the ball to Dubrava Zagreb's 49%, shots finished 7-6.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Jarun 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jarun 39%, draw 27%, Dubrava Zagreb 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jarun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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