UTA Arad 1-3 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.17
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.76
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
37%
+8.9pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.5pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
0.94/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.42
-18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hermannstadt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 0.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
366 Passes 370
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-0 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
29.07.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-1 HT 0-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
02.05.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-0 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
18.02.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
17.09.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-2 HT 1-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
23.04.2021 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
1-3
AWAY Hermannstadt
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermannstadt got the better of UTA Arad 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was UTA Arad at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UTA Arad had 56% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 44%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hermannstadt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UTA Arad and 0.83 for Hermannstadt.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt?

UTA Arad 1-3 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 46%, draw 26%, Hermannstadt 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
12 Apr 2024
20:30 Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul Analysis →