Universitatea Craiova 1-2 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.60/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.29
+8% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1W-1D-4L
AWAY SSC Farul
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.13 xG 2.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 1-2 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
05.12.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 4-0 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROMK
27.08.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
13.05.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 0-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
08.04.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-2 HT 1-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
06.02.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1-2
AWAY SSC Farul
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul edged past Universitatea Craiova 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Craiova at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 57% of the ball to SSC Farul's 43%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.67 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul?

Universitatea Craiova 1-2 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 44%, draw 26%, SSC Farul 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
12 Apr 2024
17:30 UTA Arad vs Hermannstadt Analysis →