Universitatea Craiova 1-2 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.29/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.29
+15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
2W-1D-3L
AWAY SSC Farul
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 4-0 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROMK
27.08.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
13.05.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 0-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
08.04.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-2 HT 1-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
06.02.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
05.09.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 4-3 HT 2-3 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1-2
AWAY SSC Farul
2.13 xG 2.16
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul nicked a narrow win over Universitatea Craiova 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Craiova at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.13 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.83 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul?

Universitatea Craiova 1-2 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 45%, draw 26%, SSC Farul 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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