Botosani 1-0 CFR Cluj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+7.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
51%
Away Win
59%
-8.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botosani EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.64/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.64
-24% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
223 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botosani
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CFR Cluj
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
279 Passes 307
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 3-1 HT 2-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
11.12.2022 Botosani Botosani 1-1 HT 0-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
14.08.2022 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 0-1 HT 0-1 Botosani Botosani ROM
31.01.2022 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-1 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
11.09.2021 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
18.05.2021 Botosani Botosani 0-1 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botosani
1-0
AWAY CFR Cluj
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botosani vs CFR Cluj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botosani nicked a narrow win over CFR Cluj 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CFR Cluj at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Botosani had 40% of the ball to CFR Cluj's 60%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Botosani and 1.00 for CFR Cluj.

What was the final score of Botosani vs CFR Cluj?

Botosani 1-0 CFR Cluj in the Romania - 1st Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botosani vs CFR Cluj?

Before kick-off our model rated an CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Botosani 25%, draw 24%, CFR Cluj 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CFR Cluj) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CFR Cluj) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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