Stockport County 3-1 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

Stockport County
3-1 HT 1-1
Rotherham United
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Stockport County vs Rotherham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
2.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 27% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.2
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
13%
4.11
X/2
11%
9.77
X/X
9%
4.97
2/1
8%
24.65
2/2
11%
8.21
2/X
8%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stockport County v Rotherham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 23%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.83/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.20
+21% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +101%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 63%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.0 Crosses 21.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0

Stockport County vs Rotherham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rotherham United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.13 xG 0.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
317 Passes 172
79% Pass Accuracy 61%
28 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
29.12.2024 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 1-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
03.12.2021 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County FAK
29.01.2011 Rotherham United Rotherham United 4-0 HT 3-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
11.01.2011 Stockport County Stockport County 3-3 HT 1-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN2
12.02.2008 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-4 HT 1-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
25.08.2007 Stockport County Stockport County 2-2 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN2

Stockport County 3-1 Rotherham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
3-1
AWAY Rotherham United
1.89 xG 0.30
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
390 Passes 205
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County beat Rotherham United 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Stockport County had 60% of the ball to Rotherham United's 40%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.89 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stockport County and 2.00 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Rotherham United?

Stockport County 3-1 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 48%, draw 24%, Rotherham United 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
12 Apr 2025
14:30 Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage Analysis →
14:30 Wigan Athletic vs Wrexham Analysis →
17:00 Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Lincoln City vs Shrewsbury Analysis →
17:00 Barnsley vs Bolton Wanderers Analysis →
17:00 Burton Albion vs Huddersfield Town Analysis →