Lincoln City 1-1 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.03
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
9%
17.1
X/1
21%
3.83
X/2
10%
11.35
X/X
10%
4.79
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
7%
10.4
2/X
5%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.69/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.51
+29% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 68%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
22.6 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Shrewsbury
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
317 Passes 230
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
27.02.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 3-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
19.08.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
07.05.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
03.12.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
26.03.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
1-1
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.82 xG 1.21
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
324 Passes 200
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City and Shrewsbury shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Lincoln City at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lincoln City had 59% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 41%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.82 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lincoln City and 0.67 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Shrewsbury?

Lincoln City 1-1 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 54%, draw 25%, Shrewsbury 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lincoln City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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