Harborough Town 1-2 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.23
Over 2.5
44%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.4pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.12/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.82
-41% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harborough Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY St Ives Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
14.12.2024 St Ives Town St Ives Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Ives Town edged past Harborough Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Harborough Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs St Ives Town?

Harborough Town 1-2 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 45%, draw 24%, St Ives Town 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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