Lancaster City 3-2 Blyth Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.21
Over
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
42%
4-5
27%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Lancaster City win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.2pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.8pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Blyth Spartans EU Bookmakers 14%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.38/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/3.10
-40% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Blyth Spartans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.08.2024 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans 1-1 HT 0-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Blyth Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City squeezed past Blyth Spartans 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lancaster City as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Blyth Spartans?

Lancaster City 3-2 Blyth Spartans in the England - Non League Premier on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Blyth Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 57%, draw 24%, Blyth Spartans 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lancaster City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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