Swindon Supermarine 1-0 Frome Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.0
Over
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
34%
4-5
20%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Frome Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.87/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.78
+17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +97%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Frome Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
14.12.2024 Frome Town Frome Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Frome Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine edged past Frome Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Swindon Supermarine found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Frome Town?

Swindon Supermarine 1-0 Frome Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Frome Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 37%, draw 31%, Frome Town 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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