Lugano II 0-0 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.5pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.21/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.27
-24% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bavois
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
23.03.2024 Bavois 3-1 HT 3-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
16.09.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 2-1 HT 2-1 Bavois İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Bavois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II and Bavois fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lugano II and 2.00 for Bavois.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Bavois?

Lugano II 0-0 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Bavois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 41%, draw 27%, Bavois 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lugano II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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