Toronto FC vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Toronto FC
ABD
4-3
HT 2-1
Minnesota United
ABD
4-3
HT 2-1
Toronto FC
ABD
3-2
HT 1-0
Minnesota United
ABD
Toronto FC 0-0 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Toronto FC and Minnesota United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Minnesota United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Toronto FC had 48% of the ball to Minnesota United's 52%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.58 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Toronto FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Toronto FC and 2.50 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Minnesota United?
Toronto FC 0-0 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 34%, draw 25%, Minnesota United 41%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.