Atlanta United vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlanta United v New England Revolution — Team-Based Signals
Atlanta United vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Atlanta United
ABD
3-3
HT 0-2
New England Revolution
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
Atlanta United
ABD
2-2
HT 1-1
New England Revolution
ABD
Atlanta United 0-1 New England Revolution — Actual Match Statistics
New England Revolution squeezed past Atlanta United 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Atlanta United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atlanta United had 59% of the ball to New England Revolution's 41%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.17 to 1.72 — on chances, Atlanta United could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atlanta United and 2.00 for New England Revolution.
What was the final score of Atlanta United vs New England Revolution?
Atlanta United 0-1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs New England Revolution?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 53%, draw 23%, New England Revolution 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.