New England Revolution 2-1 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-7.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.5pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.44/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.52
-10% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
19.1 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.39 xG 1.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
306 Passes 457
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-1 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
13.07.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 2-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
01.06.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-3 HT 0-2 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
01.10.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
15.05.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-2 HT 1-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
18.07.2021 Atlanta United Atlanta United 0-1 HT 0-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
2-1
AWAY Atlanta United
1.42 xG 1.93
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 12
363 Passes 498
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 34
5 Crosses 35
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution edged past Atlanta United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; New England Revolution found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 42% of the ball to Atlanta United's 58%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.42 to 1.93 — on chances, Atlanta United could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for New England Revolution and 1.83 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Atlanta United?

New England Revolution 2-1 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 34%, draw 31%, Atlanta United 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atlanta United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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