St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
St. Louis City
ABD
3-0
HT 2-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
St. Louis City 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
St. Louis City got the better of San Jose Earthquakes 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Louis City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, St. Louis City had 56% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 44%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 3.37 to 0.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, St. Louis City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for St. Louis City and 0.50 for San Jose Earthquakes.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
St. Louis City 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 50%, draw 24%, San Jose Earthquakes 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.