Minnesota United 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.74/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.09
-12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.4 Crosses 19.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
362 Passes 370
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 HT 1-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
26.03.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
10.10.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
09.07.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
28.10.2021 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 1-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
01.08.2021 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 HT 1-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
1-3
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
3.20 xG 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
336 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps beat Minnesota United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Vancouver Whitecaps made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Minnesota United had 56% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 44%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 3.20 to 1.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Minnesota United.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Minnesota United and 1.50 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Minnesota United 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 39%, draw 27%, Vancouver Whitecaps 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minnesota United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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