New York City FC 2-0 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.98
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York City FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
2.11/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.84
+17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
16.8 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York City FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.26 xG 1.27
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
318 Passes 400
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
02.07.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
23.10.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-3 HT 0-2 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
31.07.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-0 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
12.03.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 4-1 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
22.07.2021 New York City FC New York City FC 1-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York City FC
2-0
AWAY CF Montreal
2.62 xG 0.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
490 Passes 514
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
40 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New York City FC vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York City FC got the better of CF Montreal 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, New York City FC had 48% of the ball to CF Montreal's 52%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.62 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for New York City FC and 0.33 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of New York City FC vs CF Montreal?

New York City FC 2-0 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York City FC vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 59%, draw 20%, CF Montreal 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New York City FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
4 Jul 2024
02:30 DC United vs FC Cincinnati Analysis →
02:30 Toronto FC vs Orlando City Analysis →
02:30 Charlotte vs Inter Miami Analysis →
02:45 New England Revolution vs Atlanta United Analysis →
03:30 St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes Analysis →
03:30 Minnesota United vs Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis →