Charlotte 1-2 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.08/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.34
-38% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.3 Crosses 12.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.85 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
323 Passes 464
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
19.10.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
12.08.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-0 HT 2-0 Charlotte Charlotte CONLK
17.07.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
07.05.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
1-2
AWAY Inter Miami
1.51 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
382 Passes 441
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami squeezed past Charlotte 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Inter Miami made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Charlotte had 47% of the ball to Inter Miami's 53%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.51 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Charlotte and 1.80 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Inter Miami?

Charlotte 1-2 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 39%, draw 27%, Inter Miami 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte) ✗ Under 2.5
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