AS Eupen 2-1 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 27%
-24% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.69/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.73
-24% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.3 Crosses 21.2
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
2W-1D-2L
AWAY RFC Seraing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.00 xG 1.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
384 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-2 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
23.12.2022 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-1 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
19.08.2022 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-3 HT 0-3 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
29.01.2022 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
28.08.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-2 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
2-1
AWAY RFC Seraing
1.99 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
228 Passes 316
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Eupen nicked a narrow win over RFC Seraing 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AS Eupen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AS Eupen had 45% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 55%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.99 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AS Eupen and 1.20 for RFC Seraing.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs RFC Seraing?

AS Eupen 2-1 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 47%, draw 24%, RFC Seraing 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Eupen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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