RFC Seraing 1-2 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.1pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 57%
-14% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.17/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.15
-17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -49%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
16.7 Crosses 20.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
2W-1D-1L
AWAY AS Eupen
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.27 xG 1.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 377
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2022 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-1 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
19.08.2022 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-3 HT 0-3 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
29.01.2022 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
28.08.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-2 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
1-2
AWAY AS Eupen
0.46 xG 0.62
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
204 Passes 411
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Eupen squeezed past RFC Seraing 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AS Eupen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 37% of the ball to AS Eupen's 63%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.46 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, RFC Seraing had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for RFC Seraing and 0.75 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs AS Eupen?

RFC Seraing 1-2 AS Eupen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated an AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 25%, draw 24%, AS Eupen 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Eupen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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