Waasland-Beveren 0-1 Lokeren-Temse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 24% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 27%
-21% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.20/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.34
-17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -62%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
19.5 Crosses 30.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
0-1
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
1.20 xG 0.50
74% Ball Possession 26%
22 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
476 Passes 100
85% Pass Accuracy 50%
40 Box Touches 9
37 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs Lokeren-Temse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokeren-Temse nicked a narrow win over Waasland-Beveren 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Waasland-Beveren at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 74% of the ball to Lokeren-Temse's 26%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.20 to 0.50 — on chances, Waasland-Beveren could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs Lokeren-Temse?

Waasland-Beveren 0-1 Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs Lokeren-Temse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 48%, draw 28%, Lokeren-Temse 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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