Naftan Novopolotsk vs ML Vitebsk Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naftan Novopolotsk v ML Vitebsk — Team-Based Signals
Naftan Novopolotsk 0-3 ML Vitebsk — Actual Match Statistics
ML Vitebsk ran out comfortable winners over Naftan Novopolotsk 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had ML Vitebsk as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Naftan Novopolotsk had 38% of the ball to ML Vitebsk's 62%, shots finished 5-17.
What was the final score of Naftan Novopolotsk vs ML Vitebsk?
Naftan Novopolotsk 0-3 ML Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naftan Novopolotsk vs ML Vitebsk?
Before kick-off our model rated an ML Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 24%, draw 23%, ML Vitebsk 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ML Vitebsk), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.