Torpedo Zhodino 2-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.52
Over
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2.2
2-3
51%
1.76
4-5
17%
5.11
6+
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+12.4pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.91/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.08
+2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 1-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
17.03.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
06.04.2021 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLRK
06.03.2021 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 3-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
2-1
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
58% Ball Possession 42%
25 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torpedo Zhodino vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino squeezed past Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Torpedo Zhodino as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torpedo Zhodino had 58% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 42%, shots finished 25-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torpedo Zhodino had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Torpedo Zhodino and 0.25 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of Torpedo Zhodino vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Torpedo Zhodino 2-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Zhodino vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Zhodino 49%, draw 28%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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