Torpedo Zhodino 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.33
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.74
Over
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.53
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2.86
2-3
49%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.08
6+
9%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Torpedo Zhodino win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.5pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+8.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.99/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.16
-9% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
06.04.2021 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLRK
06.03.2021 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 3-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
1-1
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Torpedo Zhodino vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino and Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Torpedo Zhodino carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Torpedo Zhodino had 50% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 50%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torpedo Zhodino had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torpedo Zhodino and 0.00 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of Torpedo Zhodino vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Torpedo Zhodino 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Zhodino vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Zhodino 56%, draw 26%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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