Dinamo Brest 3-2 Isloch Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.68
Over Pick
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.75
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
23%
4.25
6+
10%
21.05
Value flag · 4-5 at 4.25 — our 23% vs market 18.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.31/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.02
-13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Brest
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Isloch Minsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2024 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
12.08.2023 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-1 HT 0-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
01.04.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
13.08.2022 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
02.04.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 2-2 HT 0-2 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
23.10.2021 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 1-0 HT 0-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Brest
3-2
AWAY Isloch Minsk
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Brest vs Isloch Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Brest edged past Isloch Minsk 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Brest as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dinamo Brest had 49% of the ball to Isloch Minsk's 51%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dinamo Brest and 1.33 for Isloch Minsk.

What was the final score of Dinamo Brest vs Isloch Minsk?

Dinamo Brest 3-2 Isloch Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Brest vs Isloch Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Brest 43%, draw 26%, Isloch Minsk 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Brest), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Brest) ✓ Over 2.5
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