Isloch Minsk 1-1 Dinamo Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.52
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.4
6+ Goals
14%
12.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.4 — our 26% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
1.25/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.59
-8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isloch Minsk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Brest
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-1 HT 0-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
01.04.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
13.08.2022 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
02.04.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 2-2 HT 0-2 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
23.10.2021 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 1-0 HT 0-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
13.06.2021 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Isloch Minsk
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Brest
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Isloch Minsk vs Dinamo Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isloch Minsk and Dinamo Brest shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Isloch Minsk at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Isloch Minsk had 50% of the ball to Dinamo Brest's 50%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Isloch Minsk and 1.00 for Dinamo Brest.

What was the final score of Isloch Minsk vs Dinamo Brest?

Isloch Minsk 1-1 Dinamo Brest in the Belarus - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isloch Minsk vs Dinamo Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Isloch Minsk 47%, draw 23%, Dinamo Brest 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Isloch Minsk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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