Slavia Mozyr 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.78
6+ Goals
12%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.20/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.14/1.01
-29% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -87% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Mozyr
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
12.11.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 5-0 HT 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
31.07.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLRK
16.07.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-3 HT 0-2 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
11.02.2018 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-0 HT 2-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Mozyr
2-0
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slavia Mozyr vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr got the better of Dnepr Mogilev 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Mozyr as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Mozyr had 56% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 44%, shots finished 9-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Slavia Mozyr had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Slavia Mozyr and 0.75 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Slavia Mozyr vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Slavia Mozyr 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Mozyr vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Slavia Mozyr 52%, draw 20%, Dnepr Mogilev 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Mozyr), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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