Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.78
6+ Goals
12%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 61%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.28/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.92
+31% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
212 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2021 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLRK
06.03.2021 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 3-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0-1
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Torpedo Zhodino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino edged past Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torpedo Zhodino as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 51% of the ball to Torpedo Zhodino's 49%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Torpedo Zhodino led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 1.50 for Torpedo Zhodino.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino in the Belarus - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 21%, draw 28%, Torpedo Zhodino 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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