Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1-0 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.49
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +20%
0.69/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.30
-49% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Vitebsk
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
59% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-5 HT 0-2 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
28.05.2022 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
23.10.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-2 HT 1-2 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
12.06.2021 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
12.09.2020 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 5-0 HT 2-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
10.05.2020 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk
1-0
AWAY Vitebsk
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtyor Soligorsk nicked a narrow win over Vitebsk 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shakhtyor Soligorsk as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Shakhtyor Soligorsk had 55% of the ball to Vitebsk's 45%, shots finished 7-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtyor Soligorsk had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Shakhtyor Soligorsk and 0.17 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Vitebsk?

Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1-0 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shakhtyor Soligorsk 41%, draw 28%, Vitebsk 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtyor Soligorsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtyor Soligorsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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