Slutsk 1-1 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

Slutsk
1-1 HT 0-0
Gomel
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.96
6+ Goals
12%
18.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.96 — our 27% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slutsk EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.39/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.59
+3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slutsk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gomel
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Gomel Gomel 4-5 HT 1-2 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
08.07.2023 Slutsk Slutsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
15.10.2022 Gomel Gomel 1-0 HT 0-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
27.05.2022 Slutsk Slutsk 2-2 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
18.09.2021 Slutsk Slutsk 1-4 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
07.05.2021 Gomel Gomel 4-1 HT 1-1 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slutsk
1-1
AWAY Gomel
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Slutsk vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slutsk and Gomel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Slutsk had 56% of the ball to Gomel's 44%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gomel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Slutsk and 2.67 for Gomel.

What was the final score of Slutsk vs Gomel?

Slutsk 1-1 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slutsk vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slutsk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Slutsk 38%, draw 26%, Gomel 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slutsk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slutsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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