Juventude 2-1 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.72
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.35
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
13%
5.02
X/2
8%
6.56
X/X
16%
3.92
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
15%
5.06
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.32/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.20
-12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.5 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ceara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 317
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Ceara Ceara 1-3 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BR2
23.07.2023 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
13.11.2022 Ceara Ceara 4-1 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
24.07.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
23.10.2021 Juventude Juventude 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
05.07.2021 Ceara Ceara 2-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
2-1
AWAY Ceara
2.40 xG 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
357 Passes 224
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude squeezed past Ceara 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Juventude made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventude had 58% of the ball to Ceara's 42%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.40 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juventude and 1.17 for Ceara.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Ceara?

Juventude 2-1 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventude win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Juventude 39%, draw 30%, Ceara 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventude) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventude) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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