Bragantino 1-0 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Apr 2025

Bragantino
1-0 HT 1-0
Botafogo
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Bragantino vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
4.41
6+ Goals
10%
22.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.38
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
14%
6.08
X/2
12%
5.46
X/X
11%
4.02
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.71
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +23%
1.33/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.24
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +50%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.2 Crosses 16.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Bragantino vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Botafogo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 0.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 Passes 234
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Bragantino 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
27.06.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
14.03.2024 Bragantino 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo LKU
07.03.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino LKU
12.11.2023 Bragantino 2-2 HT 1-2 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
16.07.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 2-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1

Bragantino 1-0 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-0
AWAY Botafogo
2.06 xG 0.70
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
255 Passes 444
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino squeezed past Botafogo 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Bragantino found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bragantino had 37% of the ball to Botafogo's 63%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.06 to 0.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bragantino's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bragantino and 1.67 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Botafogo?

Bragantino 1-0 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 34%, draw 28%, Botafogo 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botafogo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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