Bragantino 0-1 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.5
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
10%
7.08
X/2
20%
4.38
X/X
16%
4.36
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.8
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.33/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.20
+53% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 84%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
20.1 Crosses 19.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Botafogo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.35 xG 0.88
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 218
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
14.03.2024 Bragantino 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo LKU
07.03.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino LKU
12.11.2023 Bragantino 2-2 HT 1-2 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
16.07.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 2-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
27.10.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
0-1
AWAY Botafogo
0.16 xG 1.31
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
199 Passes 359
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo squeezed past Bragantino 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bragantino had 38% of the ball to Botafogo's 62%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.16 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bragantino and 1.83 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Botafogo?

Bragantino 0-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 27%, draw 28%, Botafogo 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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