Atletico Mineiro 1-3 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Oct 2024

Atletico Mineiro
1-3 HT 1-2
Internacional
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Atletico Mineiro vs Internacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.37
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
10%
14.7
X/1
10%
6.47
X/2
16%
4.47
X/X
14%
3.68
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.19
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Mineiro v Internacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +23%
1.39/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.88
+3% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
14.6 Crosses 21.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Atletico Mineiro vs Internacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Internacional
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.72 xG 0.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 Passes 346
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.06.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
01.10.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
14.05.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
31.07.2022 Internacional Internacional 3-0 HT 3-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
10.04.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
03.10.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1

Atletico Mineiro 1-3 Internacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1-3
AWAY Internacional
1.13 xG 1.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
247 Passes 163
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional got the better of Atletico Mineiro 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 58% of the ball to Internacional's 42%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.13 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 0.67 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Internacional?

Atletico Mineiro 1-3 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 28%, draw 29%, Internacional 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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