Atletico Paranaense 3-0 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.7pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.58/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.38
+0% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.4 Crosses 14.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 2.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
400 Passes 353
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.06.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
01.12.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
29.07.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-3 HT 1-2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
07.11.2019 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
28.07.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
11.11.2018 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-0 HT 2-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
3-0
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.40 xG 0.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
465 Passes 319
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense cruised past Cruzeiro 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 58% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 42%, shots finished 19-2, expected goals 1.40 to 0.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.00 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro?

Atletico Paranaense 3-0 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 46%, draw 27%, Cruzeiro 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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