Cruzeiro 2-0 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.92
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.58/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.54
+3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
24.1 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.12 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
372 Passes 384
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
29.07.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-3 HT 1-2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
07.11.2019 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
28.07.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
11.11.2018 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-0 HT 2-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
23.07.2018 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
2-0
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.88 xG 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 12
383 Passes 381
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Cruzeiro beat Atletico Paranaense 2-0 in the Brazil - Serie A on 27 Jun 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 49% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 51%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 1.88 to 0.67.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.50 for Atletico Paranaense.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense?

Cruzeiro 2-0 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 47%, draw 26%, Atletico Paranaense 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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