Fortaleza 3-0 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.20/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.27
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
16.3 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 1.36
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 Passes 380
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-2 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
22.07.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
01.06.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BRK
18.05.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-0 HT 2-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BRK
03.11.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4-0 HT 2-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
11.07.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza
3-0
AWAY Palmeiras
1.02 xG 1.20
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
169 Passes 438
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza swept aside Palmeiras 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Fortaleza had 32% of the ball to Palmeiras's 68%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.02 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fortaleza and 2.00 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Palmeiras?

Fortaleza 3-0 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 31%, draw 27%, Palmeiras 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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