Corinthians 1-1 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.13
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.36 — our 39% vs market 35.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
12%
4.13
X/2
12%
7.42
X/X
15%
3.8
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
12%
6.34
2/X
9%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.3pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +22%
1.31/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.10
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +45%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.5 Crosses 21.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cuiaba
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
464 Passes 348
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-1 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
11.06.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
02.10.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 2-0 HT 2-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
08.06.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
14.11.2021 Corinthians Corinthians 3-2 HT 1-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
27.07.2021 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-2 HT 0-2 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
1-1
AWAY Cuiaba
1.13 xG 1.68
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 1
413 Passes 209
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 16
52 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Corinthians vs Cuiaba
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Corinthians and Cuiaba shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Brazil - Serie A on 27 Jun 2024. Half-time: 0-1.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 38%.

On the day, Corinthians had 65% of the ball to Cuiaba's 35%, shots finished 24-13, expected goals 1.13 to 1.68.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Corinthians and 0.83 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Cuiaba?

Corinthians 1-1 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 39%, draw 31%, Cuiaba 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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