Internacional 1-2 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.25
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.47
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.95
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
17%
4.21
X/2
8%
7.02
X/X
12%
3.66
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
10%
6.04
2/X
10%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.46/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.16
+16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.1 Crosses 18.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.67 xG 1.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 406
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
14.05.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
31.07.2022 Internacional Internacional 3-0 HT 3-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
10.04.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
03.10.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
17.06.2021 Internacional Internacional 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-2
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.72 xG 1.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
346 Passes 416
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro squeezed past Internacional 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Internacional had 46% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 54%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.72 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Internacional and 1.33 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro?

Internacional 1-2 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Internacional 45%, draw 30%, Atletico Mineiro 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
27 Jun 2024
01:00 Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense Analysis →
01:00 Botafogo vs Bragantino Analysis →
02:00 Atletico Goianiense vs Gremio Analysis →
02:00 Corinthians vs Cuiaba Analysis →
02:00 Juventude vs Flamengo Analysis →
03:30 Fortaleza vs Palmeiras Analysis →