Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Gremio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.12
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
9%
4.54
X/2
11%
6.57
X/X
15%
3.88
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
11%
5.26
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gremio EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.23/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.57
-29% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
23.4 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gremio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.13 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
364 Passes 415
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-0 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
05.07.2021 Gremio Gremio 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
28.12.2020 Gremio Gremio 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
07.09.2020 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 1-1 Gremio Gremio BR1
26.11.2017 Gremio Gremio 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
03.08.2017 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
1-1
AWAY Gremio
1.69 xG 0.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
325 Passes 342
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 20
7 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Atletico Goianiense vs Gremio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Atletico Goianiense and Gremio shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Brazil - Serie A on 27 Jun 2024. Half-time: 0-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 49% of the ball to Gremio's 51%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.69 to 0.45.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 0.83 for Gremio.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Gremio?

Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Gremio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 42%, draw 29%, Gremio 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Goianiense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
27 Jun 2024
01:00 Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense Analysis →
01:00 Botafogo vs Bragantino Analysis →
02:00 Corinthians vs Cuiaba Analysis →
02:00 Juventude vs Flamengo Analysis →
03:30 Fortaleza vs Palmeiras Analysis →
03:30 Internacional vs Atletico Mineiro Analysis →